9/2/2023 0 Comments Start em sit em![]() Opponents have scored 38, 27, 48, and 31 points against the Lions in Detroit. And Ford Field has proven to be a fantasy feasting ground in 2022. Tua Tagovailoa just posted the QB1 week against the Lions last week, throwing for 382 yards and three touchdowns. Detroit is dead last in pass-defense DVOA, 26th in adjusted sack rate, 32nd in Pro Football Focus’ coverage grades, 30th in fantasy points allowed to quarterbacks, 32nd in completion rate against, 32nd in yards per attempt allowed, 24th in opponent plays per game, and 32nd in yards per play against. This is purely a matchup play, as Rodgers gets his first of two dates with the lowly Lions. His completion rate is down 2.5% from last year, his touchdown rate has dipped from 7% to 4.7%, and he’s 24th in yards per attempt. ![]() Rodgers has tossed multiple touchdowns in 6-of-8 games, but he’s yet to throw three in a week. Miami’s implied team total of 25.75 points is the sixth-most of the weekend.Īaron Rodgers at Lions – It’s been a disastrous season for back-to-back MVP winner Rodgers, as he enters this one as fantasy’s overall QB28 in points per game. ![]() The only worry here would be the Dolphins running over the Bears via the rushing attack, but there’s still enough meat on the bone here for Tagovailoa to get there, especially with six teams on bye. Chicago doesn’t have any answers for Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle. Dak Prescott ate up this defense in Week 8, completing 78% of his throws at 9.26 YPA and three total touchdowns as the week’s QB4. Chicago doesn’t field nearly as bad of a defense as the Lions, but the Bears are 18th in pass-defense DVOA, 22nd in adjusted sack rate, 16th in Pro Football Focus’ coverage grades, 22nd in opponent yards per play, and they just dealt away EDGE Robert Quinn and stud LB Roquan Smith at the trade deadline. Tua Tagovailoa at Bears – The overall QB7 in fantasy points per game, Tagovailoa is coming off a 382-yard, three-touchdown evisceration of the Lions last week, completing a season-best 81% of his passes, finishing as Week 8’s QB1. Also, the Seahawks are sixth in yards per play, while the Cardinals are 25th in opponent yards per play. Arizona is 23rd in pass-defense DVOA, 27th in adjusted sack rate, 31st in Pro Football Focus’ coverage grades, 28th in fantasy points allowed to quarterbacks, 24th in completion percentage allowed, and has surrendered the fourth-most passing touchdowns. This game’s 49.5-point total is the second-highest of the week. That game had real shootout potential under the surface. Several drives stalled out in or near the red zone. That one resulted in a disappointing 19-9 final score, and Smith threw for just 197 scoreless yards, but the two offenses combined for 23 possessions and 139 offensive plays. He faced these same Cardinals back in Week 6. Smith has multiple touchdown passes in 6-of-8 games. He’s also not turning the ball over, with a sparkling 13:3 TD:INT mark and just one lost fumble. However, Smith continues to lead the league in completion rate while also being top-10 in passer rating, yards per attempt, and touchdown rate. ![]() Start of the Week: Geno Smith at Cardinals – Fantasy’s overall QB9 at the season’s midway point, Smith’s big yardage games have faded with just 197, 210, and 212 yards in the Seahawks’ last three outings. Notable QBs on bye: Dak Prescott, Russell Wilson, Jacoby Brissett, Jimmy Garoppolo, Kenny Pickett, Daniel Jones Start ‘Em or Sit ‘Em is geared toward season-long leagues but can also be used for daily fantasy purposes. ![]()
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